A ranar 10 ga Maris Manturov, ministan masana'antu na Rasha, ya ce Rasha ta yanke shawarar dakatarwatakifitarwa na dan lokaci.Kasar Rasha ce kan gaba wajen samar da taki mai rahusa, mai albarka, sannan ita ce kasa ta biyu a duniya wajen samar da sinadarin potassium bayan Kanada.Yayin da takunkumin da kasashen Yamma suka kakabawa kamfanonin taki na Rasha har yanzu ba su kai ga kawo karshen takunkumin ba a nan gaba.Takunkumin da aka kakaba wa Belarus, wanda Tarayyar Turai ta amince da shi a ranar 2 ga Maris, ya rigaya ya hada da hana fitar da sinadarin potassium da sauran kayayyakin zuwa kasashen EU.Kwangilolin potash na duniya sun kasance mafi girma tun aƙalla 2008.
Ana sa ran rikicin zai kara tsadar takin zamani, wanda har yanzu yayi tsada:
Kasar Rasha ita ce kasar da ta fi fitar da taki zuwa kasashen waje, wanda ya kai kusan kashi 20 cikin 100 na kayayyakin da ake samarwa a duniya.Rasha da Belarus ne ke da kashi 40 cikin 100 na abubuwan da ake fitarwa a duniya.China, Brazil, da Indiya sune babban ɓangaren buƙata.Kwangilar Potash a China da Indiya ana kulle su akan dala 590 a tonne a shekarar 2022, har zuwa dala 343 a ton daga shekara guda da ta gabata, wanda ya kai shekaru 10.Masu binciken masana'antu sun yi imanin cewa China, Indiya tana ba da lokaci tare, haɗe tare da tsananin buƙatar potash a Brazil, farashin nan gaba ko babba.Bugu da kari, safarar potassium ya fi ta hanyar ruwa, kuma rashin tabbas na halin da ake ciki a Ukraine da Rasha na iya kara farashin jigilar kayayyaki.
Arlan Suderman, babban masanin tattalin arzikin kayayyaki a wani kamfanin bincike na StoneX, ya yi nuni da cewa, Arewacin Amurka na iya fuskantar tsauraran kayayyakin taki kafin farkon lokacin noman, wanda zai iya haifar da raguwar amfanin gona da zai iya shafar noman duniya a duk tsawon lokacin da ake noman noma. shekara.Ken Seitz, shugaban riko na kamfanin Nutrien, babban kamfanin samar da abinci mai gina jiki a duniya, ya yi nuni da cewa manoma za su fara amfani da karancin taki yayin da farashin ya tashi.
Masanin taki, Alexis Maxwell na Bloomberg, ya ce faduwar da ake samu daga Rasha da Belarus zai fara kaiwa kasuwannin noma na arewacin kasar, saboda babban lokacin da suke yin takin zamani shi ne kashi na biyu.A halin da ake ciki, masana'antun Kudancin Amurka sun dogara sosai kan takin Rasha, waɗanda suka ga hauhawar sayayya ta yau da kullun daga abokan cinikin Brazil, a cewar majiyoyin masana'antu.
A ranar 2 ga Maris, shugaban kasar Brazil Luiz Inacio Bosonaro ya ba da shawarar dage haramcin hakar ma'adinai a cikin dajin budurwa na Amazon don cike gibin yuwuwar karancin taki da ya haifar da tashe-tashen hankula tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, kamar yadda kafar yada labarai ta CCTV ta ruwaito.Brazil, babbar kasar noma, tana shigo da kashi 80 cikin 100 na takinta a duk shekara, fiye da kashi 96 na sinadarin Potash, kuma kasar Rasha ita ce babbar hanyar samar da taki da potassium.Wani sabon bincike da aka gudanar a shekarar 2021 a kasar Brazil ya gano ma'adinin potassium a cikin rafin Amazon da ke arewacin kasar, wanda aka kiyasta ta kai kimanin tan biliyan 3.2.
Huanqiu.com ta kuma ruwaito cewa, domin tabbatar da cewa kasar Rasha ta ci gaba da samar da takin zamani a lokacin takunkumin, gwamnatin Indiya da majiyoyin banki sun bayyana a baya-bayan nan cewa, wani shiri na bai wa bankuna da kamfanonin kasar damar bude asusun ajiyar kudin Rupe na kasar Indiya tare da wasu bankunan gwamnatin kasar domin daidaita harkokin kasuwanci. a matsayin wani bangare na tsarin cinikin da zai kaucewa takunkumin da kasashen yamma suka kakaba mata, hakan ya haifar da bacin rai daga bangaren hukumomin da suka sanyawa takunkumin.
A Amurka, babban mai shari'a na Iowa ya ba da umarnin binciken kasuwa game da hauhawar farashin taki "wanda ba a taba gani ba", biza, shugaban Ma'aikatar Aikin Noma ta Amurka, ya gargadi kamfanonin taki da sauran masu samar da gonaki da kada su yi amfani da "rashin adalci". amfani" na rikici a Ukraine don tayar da farashin.
Matt Arnold, wani manazarci a kamfanin saka jari na Edward Jones, yana ganin manyan masu samar da abinci mai gina jiki a duniya, irinsu na Canada, na iya kara habaka samar da sinadarin Potash a matsayin martani, kuma za su iya amfana idan har tashin hankali ya tashi.Amma ba a san ko nawa ne masu samar da kayayyaki na Arewacin Amurka za su iya samarwa a wannan shekara ba, ko kuma watanni nawa na sabon ƙarfin da za a samu don yin amfani da dillalan idan lokacin noman Arewacin Amurka ya ƙare.
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Lokacin aikawa: Maris-31-2022